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Tesla - Risk Score: 27/100

Tesla scores 27/100 on a three-pillar risk framework — extreme valuation, fortress balance sheet, contracting growth. Inside: deep-dive analysis on each pillar, the Q1 2026 delivery picture, and what 353x trailing earnings actually means for positioning.

Raph

Raph

— 29 min read
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Risk Scorer / report
03 Apr 2026
TSLA
Tesla, Inc.
NASDAQ · Consumer Discretionary · EV / Energy
$361.11
−19.82 (−5.20%)
Close 02 Apr 2026
27
/ 100
HIGH RISK
Tesla's extreme valuation multiples, declining automotive revenue, and compressed margins present significant fundamental risk. While the energy storage business and autonomous vehicle optionality provide long-term upside, current metrics signal a stock priced for perfection in an imperfect operating environment.
Mkt Cap
$1.35T
Mega-cap
TTM Rev
$94.8B
−3% YoY
TTM EPS
$1.07
−47% YoY
52w Range
$214 – $499
−28% from high
Next Earnings
22 Apr
19 days
Share Price — 12 Month
Apr 2025 → Apr 2026
$500 $375 $250 $490 ATH $361 $214
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
52w Low $214
52w High $499
Current $361 (−28% from peak)
Score Breakdown
Valuation
12/100
Financial Health
55/100
Growth
28/100
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You've seen the score and the breakdown. The full report digs into each pillar — every metric, every severity flag, and the catalysts and risks driving the verdict.
  • Valuation — 6 multiples (P/E, Forward P/E, EV/EBITDA, P/B, P/S, PEG) with severity flags
  • Financial Health — 6 measures across debt, liquidity, returns and cash position
  • Growth — 6 metrics covering revenue, segments, margins and free cash flow
  • Beginner take callouts on every pillar — plain-English context
  • 5 catalysts and 5 risks shaping the next twelve months
  • Bottom Line — verdict, rating bar, and the synthesis behind the 27/100
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