NVIDIA Q1 - Risk Score: 76/100
NVIDIA scores 76/100 through Q1 FY27. Strong balance sheet, record growth print, still-rich valuation, and one real asterisk: top customer now 30% of receivables, up from 25%.
Risk Scorer · Report
NVIDIA Q1 — Risk Score: 76/100
A practitioner-style risk read on NVIDIA after the Q1 FY27 print. Three pillars scored 0–100, weighted 35 / 35 / 30. Higher score = lower risk.
Overall Risk Score
0 / 100
Low-Mod
0 · High Risk
100 · Low Risk
NVIDIA posted record revenue of $81.6B (+85% YoY) in Q1 FY27, with Data Center up +92% to $75.2B and GAAP gross margin holding at 74.9%. The board added $80B to the buyback authorization and lifted the dividend 25x to $0.25 per share. Pillars scored: Valuation 62 (priced rich, but PEG ~0.4 narrows the gap), Financial Health 82 (fortress balance sheet — though top customer is now 30% of AR, up from 25%), and Growth 86 (extraordinary at this size — though China DC compute is $0 in the Q2 guide). Aggregate 76 / 100 sits in the Low-Mod band: the business itself looks defendable, but two watch slots — customer concentration and the China hole — are where the next two prints will be judged.
Market Cap
$5.22T
at $214.28 close
TTM Revenue
$253.4B
+71% YoY
TTM GAAP EPS
$6.38
+200%+ YoY
52W Range
$132 – $236
−9.1% from high
Next Earnings
26 Aug
Q2 FY27 · after close
12-Month Price · NVDA
May '25
Aug '25
Nov '25
Feb '26
May '26
ATH
52W Low
Q1 FY27 Print (20 May)
Current